Fallout from Major League Baseball’s lockout of the players could have far-reaching implications on the trade and free-agent markets, potentially slowing them because teams have clamped down on scouting of minor leaguers currently in spring training camps due to uncertainty over the Rule 5 draft, officials from nine teams told ESPN on Friday.

消息人士称，多个球队已经与联盟询问了取消本赛季规则5选秀的可能性。在选秀中，球队可以选择不参加40人名单的球员，并为其权利支付100,000美元，但必须让他们在整个赛季的26人职业联赛阵容中。消息人士称，本赛季规则5选秀的大联盟部分尚未做出任何决定，但随着小联盟春季训练，比赛最早将于3月12日开始，这种情况的不透明使高管们想知道如何联盟计划处理复杂的案件。

During their talks on a new collective bargaining agreement, MLB and the MLB Players Association have yet to discuss the Rule 5 draft, sources told ESPN. Because it is collectively bargained, the union and league would need to agree on scratching it for one season. MLB and the MLBPA declined comment when reached by ESPN.

消息人士称，如果害怕失去球员，如果规则5选秀权仍然存在，则有16个组织已向所有团队发送了信件，禁止童子军从他们的综合体中出发。据消息人士称，只有五支球队允许其他组织的球探观看其小联盟球员：辛辛那提红人，密尔沃基酿酒师，奥克兰A，坦帕湾射线和西雅图水手队，他们周五在小组中加入了该小组。这五个人建立了互惠协议，他们可以在其中侦察彼此的前景。其他组织没有正式制定政策或概述了拆分计划。例如，圣路易斯红雀队将于周一向公众和媒体开放，但直到3月17日比赛开始时才开放。

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The implications of the decisions to ban scouts, sources said, could go much deeper: Most teams also can’t evaluate players who could be trade targets after the lockout ends. The trade market is expected to be bustling as the game’s transactional ledger reopens during a new CBA. But doing so without having scouted players would bring unnecessary risk, especially for teams looking to rebuild through trades, sources said.

在过去的几个赛季中，高管们将停滞的贸易市场指出是自由球员行动缓慢的原因。With the A’s possibly trading star first baseman Matt Olson, third baseman Matt Chapman and starting pitchers Chris Bassitt, Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas, the Reds shopping starting pitching before the lockout and others on the move, a trade market clogged up on account of teams needing fresh looks on potential acquisitions could have a deleterious effect on parts of the free-agent market, sources said.

取消规则草案5,五总经理told ESPN this week, would prompt teams to lift the restrictions on scouting and mitigate the complications the lockout has caused. The MLB Players Association would need to sign off on any Rule 5 changes.

The fear of other organizations gleaning new information on prospects who improved over the winter and applying it to the Rule 5 draft originally fueled the scouting shutdown, sources said. While Rule 5 picks are typically not impact players — they are chosen from a pool of those who spent five years in an organization if they signed at age 18 or earlier, or four years at 19 years old or higher — the cost-effectiveness of the acquisition makes it of particular import to rebuilding teams.

在上个赛季的17个大联盟5号选秀权中，在整个赛季中，有6名与他们的球队保持了整个赛季：底特律外野手Akil Baddoo，波士顿救援者Garrett Whitlock，Colorado Reliever Jordan Sheffield，Miami Reliever，Cleveland Reliever Paul Campbell，Cleveland Reliever Trevor Trevor Stephan和Baltimerer tyler tyler Wells Tyler Wells Tyler Wells Tyler Wells Tyler Wells Tyler Wells。如果一支球队在本赛季中从其大联盟阵容中删除了5号规则的球员，则必须将他带回他以50,000美元的方式选择的球队，但是如果整个时间都将他送给他，它可以将他送回未成年人明年联赛。

消息人士称，该锁定更改了规则5草案的标准演算，通常在12月的冬季会议上进行。团队必须使用40人的名单进行规则5选秀权，在标准年份中，这是一个罚款：休赛期的名册灵活性较小。

总经理说，由于锁定，团队希望利用额外的机会来侦察球员。虽然2022年的玩家收购考虑了许多因素，包括分析，使用侦察员来帮助注意冬季的任何变化（例如玩家的身体状况或快球速度的跳跃）对于规则5的选秀来说是新颖的。

Skipping it for a year, a possibility first raised by The Athletic, would in theory benefit the union as well. With hundreds of free agents due to hit the open market, jobs could be few and far between. By agreeing to remove the Rule 5 draft, teams could instead use the 26-man spots on free agents.

通常选择的球员的好处 - 不在工会的1200名成员中 - 是两倍。获得大联盟阵容的机会是最重要的机会，但是那些回到以前的球队的人会大幅提高，这是在40人阵容中获得的球员，这是标准的小联盟薪水。

删除一个赛季规则5的另一个问题可能会减轻：清楚稍后将要命名的球员。去年，多个团队有来自交易的PTBNL，尽管通常必须在六个月内选出，但锁定可以防止任何运动进入团队40人的阵容。

The Baltimore Orioles are scheduled to pick first in the Rule 5 draft, followed by the Arizona Diamondbacks, Texas Rangers, Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals. The draft’s minor league portion took place in December because the lockout does not prevent movement of players not on teams’ 40-man rosters.

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